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How to Stop School Shootings
By John R. Lott, Jr.
This week's horrific shootings in Arkansas
have, predictably, spurred calls or more gun
control. But it's worth noting that
the shootings occurred in one of the few places in Arkansas
where possessing a gun is illegal.
Arkansas, Kentucky and Mississippi the three states that
have had deadly shootings in public
schools over the past half-year all allow law-abiding
adults to carry concealed handgun
for self-protection, except in public schools. Indeed,
federal law generally prohibits guns
within 1000 feet of a school.
Gun prohibitionists concede that banning
guns around schools has not quite worked as
intended but their response has been
to call for more regulations of guns. Yet what might
appear to be the most obvious policy
may actually cost lives. When gun control laws are
passed, it is law-abiding citizens,
not would-be criminals, who adhere to them. Obviously the
police cannot be everywhere, so these
laws risk creating situations in which the good guys
cannot defend themselves from the
bad ones.
Consider a fact hardly mentioned during
the massive news coverage of the October 1997
shooting spree at a high school in
Pearl, Miss.: An assistant principal retrieved a gun from his
car and physically immobilized the
gunman for a full 41/2 minutes while waiting for the
police to arrive. The gunman had already
fatally shot two students (after earlier stabbing his
mother to death). Who knows how many
lives the assistant principal saved by his prompt
response?
Allowing teachers and other law-abiding
adults to carry concealed handguns in schools would
not only make it easier to stop shootings
in progress, it could also help deter shootings from
ever occurring. Twenty-five or more
years ago in Israel, terrorists would pull out machine
guns in malls and fire away at civilians.
However, with expanded concealed-handgun use by
Israeli citizens, terrorists soon
found the ordinary people around them pulling pistols on them.
Suffice it to say, terrorists in Israel
no longer engage in such public shootings to respond.
The one recent shooting of school children
in Israel further illustrates these points. On March
13.1997, seven seventh and eighth-grade
Israeli girls were shot to death by a Jordanian
soldier while they visited Jordan's
so-called Island of Peace. The Los Angeles Times reports
that the Israelis had "complied with
Jordanian requests to leave their weapons behind when
they entered the border enclave. Otherwise,
they might have been able to stop the shooting,
several parents said."
Together with my colleague William
Landes, I have studied multiple-victim public shootings
in the U.S. from 1977 to 1995. These
were incidents in which at east two people were killed
or injured in a public place; to focus
on the type of shooting seen in Arkansas we excluded
shootings that were the byproduct
of another crime, such as robbery. The U.S. averaged 21
such shootings per year, with an average
of 1.8 people killed and 2.7 wounded in each one.
We examined a whole range of different
gun laws as well as other methods of deterrence,
such as the death penalty. However,
only one policy succeeded in reducing deaths and
injuries from these shootings-allowing
law-abiding citizens to carry concealed handguns.
The effect of "shall-issue" concealed
handgun laws-which give adults the right to carry
concealed handguns if they do not
have a criminal record or a history of significant mental
illness-has been dramatic. Thirty-one
states now have such laws. When states passed them
during the 19 years we studied, the
number of multiple-victim public shootings declined by
84%. Deaths from these shootings plummeted
on average by 90%, injuries by 82%. Higher
arrest rates and increased use of
the death penalty slightly reduced the incidence of these
events, but the effects were never
statistically significant.
With over 19,600 people murdered in
1996, those killed in multiple victim public shootings
account for fewer than 0.2% of the
total. Yet these are surely the murders that attract
national as well as international
attention, often for days after the attack. Victims recount
their feelings of utter helplessness
as a gunman methodically shoots his cowering prey.
Unfortunately, much of the public policy
debate is driven by lopsided coverage of gun use.
Tragic events like those in Arkansas
receive massive news coverage, as they should, but
discussions of the 2.5 million times
each year that people use guns defensively including
cases in which public shootings are
stopped before they happen--are ignored. Dramatic
stories of mothers who prevented their
children from being kidnapped by carjackers seldom
even make the local news.
Attempts to outlaw guns from schools,
no matter how well meaning, have backfired. Instead
of making school safe for children,
we have made them safe for those intent on harming our
children. Current school policies
fire teachers who even accidentally bring otherwise legal
concealed handguns to school. We might
consider reversing this policy and begin rewarding
teachers who take on the responsibility
to help protect children.